Evidence Notes for the Proposed Human Intelligence Debt Study

This is not a further conceptual paper in the Human Intelligence Gap series. It is the preliminary-evidence attachment that the measurement working paper (Paper 5, Measuring Human Intelligence Debt ) points to: a record of the public signatures of architectural disorder we have already found, presented as preliminary supporting evidence rather than as a result. It documents a present-day deficit — that organisational architecturability is low now , and has resisted three decades of tooling — and a pattern of non-convergence . It does not claim to prove cumulative year-over-year decay , nor any causal or structural claim about Human Intelligence Debt; those are earned only by the experimental programme in Paper 5. Every third-party figure below is a benchmark with selection bias, flagged accordingly; series that count different populations with different methods are reported separately and never merged into a single number; analyst forecasts are marked as forecasts; and figures of contested origin are named as folklore.

A Flagged Evidence Map of Capability Multiplicity, Portfolio Answerability, and Three Decades of Non-Convergence — Compiled to Accompany the Human Intelligence Debt Measurement Programme

How to read the verification tags. Every figure carries a status tag, so it can be re-found, weighted, or challenged: